Arapongas vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 2
ARA
43%
25%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
ROM
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ARA
3 - 2
ROM
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 2
ARA
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
ARA
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
LON
4 - 0
ACP
51%
23%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 2
OPE
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
IRA
1 - 1
ACP
48%
24%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ACP
5 - 0
RIO
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 1
ACP
81%
14%
5%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |