Araño SD vs Carcacía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araño SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAC
2 - 0
ARA
34%
22%
44%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ARA
3 - 1
DOD
50%
21%
30%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ARA
2 - 3
LCL
13%
17%
70%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
VCC
3 - 1
ARA
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
LUA
0 - 3
ARA
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Carcacía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 3
CAL
11%
15%
74%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
RES
1 - 2
CAR
71%
16%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PRA
4 - 1
CAR
73%
16%
10%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 1
ESC
15%
21%
64%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 2
URD
50%
24%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |