Arandina vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ACF
6 - 0
COL
70%
18%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CDB
0 - 1
ACF
17%
23%
59%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ACF
3 - 2
MIR
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
CEB
3 - 2
ACF
16%
23%
61%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ACF
2 - 1
CEB
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
AVI
0 - 0
MIR
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
AVI
1 - 3
SEG
20%
26%
54%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 0
AVI
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CDB
1 - 1
AVI
14%
22%
65%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CEB
0 - 1
AVI
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |