Aragvi Dusheti vs Sioni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
8º
7º
23
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
19 | 65 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 61 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 59 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 59 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 50 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 46 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 45 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 44 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 27 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 20% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 41% |
|
Mid-table
|
34.5% | 33% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
47.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
16.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
GAR
0 - 1
ADU
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
ADU
64%
19%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 0
ADU
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
ADU
4 - 1
GUR
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 0
ADU
34%
25%
40%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sioni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 0
SIO
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DTB
1 - 1
SIO
82%
12%
6%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LOK
2 - 1
SIO
38%
23%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 1
SIO
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
SIO
9 - 1
MER
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |