Araguaína vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araguaína
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 3
ARA
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 0
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 2
INT
67%
19%
15%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 0
PAL
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
TOC
1 - 1
ARA
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
PAY
3 - 3
IAC
69%
18%
14%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
IAC
2 - 2
PAY
28%
22%
50%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
PAY
3 - 2
CAM
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
PAY
3 - 1
REC
67%
18%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
AGU
3 - 1
PAY
24%
22%
54%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |