Araguaína vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
53.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araguaína
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
ARA
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
GUR
3 - 1
ARA
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 0
GUR
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
GUR
1 - 1
ARA
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 0
INT
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 0
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
CEI
68%
19%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CEI
3 - 1
BRA
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 2
CEI
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CEI
0 - 0
LUZ
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |