Aragua FC vs Yaracuyanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 2
MON
40%
29%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
EST
0 - 0
ARA
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 2
YAR
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TAC
3 - 1
ARA
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 1
TRU
34%
28%
37%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Yaracuyanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
LDU
1 - 0
YAR
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
YAR
1 - 0
ANZ
33%
29%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
YAR
1 - 1
LDU
22%
27%
51%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
YAR
1 - 2
DEP
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 2
YAR
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |