Aragua FC vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 1
ARA
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
YAR
1 - 1
ARA
18%
23%
59%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MIN
2 - 0
ARA
60%
22%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 1
MON
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
EST
0 - 2
ARA
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
ESC
0 - 1
TAC
16%
22%
63%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
ZAM
6 - 1
ESC
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
ESC
0 - 0
ATL
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ESC
0 - 0
LAR
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
LLA
3 - 1
ESC
32%
23%
44%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |