Aragua FC vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MET
0 - 2
ARA
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ARA
2 - 0
ATL
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 0
CFC
29%
26%
46%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +3 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 0
ANZ
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
CFC
0 - 2
ARA
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 0
ESC
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ESC
2 - 3
DEP
14%
21%
66%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
TAC
3 - 1
ESC
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 1
ZUL
16%
22%
63%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ESC
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |