Aragua FC vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
51.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
POR
4 - 1
ARA
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 0
ARA
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 0
MIN
27%
24%
49%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ZUL
2 - 0
ARA
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
ARA
2 - 1
YAR
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
DEP
2 - 1
ZUL
62%
21%
18%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 0
ARA
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
DEP
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
DEP
3 - 0
TRU
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
DEP
3 - 1
MIR
76%
17%
8%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | +1 |