Apertura Venezuela Semi-finals
Global 1-7
Aragua FC vs Dep. Anzoátegui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
TAC
2 - 2
ARA
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
TAC
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
MIN
1 - 2
ARA
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 0
TAC
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ESC
2 - 3
ARA
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
ANZ
3 - 1
MIN
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 1
ANZ
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
ANZ
0 - 0
URE
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
ANZ
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
ANZ
1 - 1
TRU
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |