Árabe Unido vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
28.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
3 - 1
AFC
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 0
ARA
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
CHI
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SFF
0 - 1
ARA
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 0
COL
67%
22%
11%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 1
TAU
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
CHO
32%
29%
40%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CHO
3 - 1
SFF
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
COL
2 - 2
CHO
25%
29%
46%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CHO
0 - 0
CHE
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |