Árabe Unido vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ARA
2 - 5
TAU
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
ARA
23%
28%
50%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 0
ARA
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 0
SMI
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 0
COS
54%
26%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 3
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SMI
1 - 1
AFC
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 0
TAU
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SFF
1 - 2
AFC
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CHO
2 - 3
AFC
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |