Aquidauanense vs Comercial MS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aquidauanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2021 |
OPE
3 - 2
AQU
50%
24%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
AQU
0 - 0
AOU
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
AQU
3 - 0
ABC
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
COS
2 - 1
AQU
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
COM
0 - 3
AQU
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
COM
1 - 4
COS
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 2
COM
26%
22%
53%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
OPE
1 - 1
COM
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
COM
0 - 1
AOU
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
COM
0 - 3
AQU
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |