Sul-Matogrossense . Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Aquidauanense vs Comercial MS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aquidauanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
COM
0 - 0
AQU
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
AQU
1 - 3
REA
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
REA
3 - 1
AQU
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
AQU
0 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NOV
2 - 6
AQU
11%
17%
72%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
COM
0 - 0
AQU
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
OPE
1 - 1
COM
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
COM
0 - 1
OPE
37%
26%
36%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
COM
3 - 0
NOV
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PON
1 - 3
COM
10%
16%
74%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | 0 |