Aprilia vs Selargius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ARZ
2 - 0
APR
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
APR
2 - 3
VIT
21%
23%
55%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
APR
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
APR
1 - 1
LCR
21%
24%
55%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FON
5 - 3
APR
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Selargius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SEL
1 - 1
ANZ
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
5 - 0
SEL
70%
16%
13%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
SEL
0 - 1
AST
27%
25%
49%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
OST
4 - 1
SEL
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SEL
1 - 4
BUD
26%
25%
50%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |