Aprilia vs Montegiorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
APR
4 - 0
OLY
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
PIN
1 - 1
APR
57%
24%
20%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
APR
1 - 1
SFF
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
GIU
0 - 1
APR
33%
27%
40%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
APR
0 - 1
RIE
25%
23%
52%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
UST
3 - 4
MON
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ASD
2 - 4
MON
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 1
VAS
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 1
MON
56%
21%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |