Aprilia vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 0
APR
71%
17%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
APR
0 - 0
SAN
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
LCR
5 - 2
APR
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
APR
3 - 1
FON
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
OLB
0 - 2
APR
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ARZ
3 - 2
ACI
59%
24%
17%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ANZ
0 - 3
ARZ
34%
26%
40%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PAL
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
AST
3 - 1
ARZ
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ARZ
1 - 2
OST
25%
23%
52%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |