Aprilia vs AC Isola Liri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
APR
2 - 0
NEA
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
FON
2 - 3
APR
38%
24%
37%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ARZ
0 - 2
APR
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
APR
2 - 1
GAV
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VIG
1 - 0
APR
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AC Isola Liri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 1
ACI
52%
25%
23%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
ACI
0 - 5
MIL
37%
27%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ACI
1 - 1
EBO
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FCC
5 - 0
ACI
72%
19%
9%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ACI
4 - 1
FCC
46%
26%
28%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |