Rwanda League Round 16

APR FC vs Etincelles FC analysis

APR FC Etincelles FC
41 ELO 44
-4.8% Tilt -18.5%
7271º General ELO ranking 7758º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
52.8%
APR FC
24.7%
Draw
22.5%
Etincelles FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
APR FC
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.5%
Win probability
Etincelles FC
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
APR FC
+94%
-26%
Etincelles FC

ELO progression

APR FC
Etincelles FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

APR FC
APR FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2016
ASK
AS Kigali
1 - 3
APR FC
APR
45%
28%
27%
42 42 0 0
03 Apr. 2016
APR
APR FC
0 - 0
Marines FC
MAR
54%
24%
22%
42 42 0 0
19 Mar. 2016
YOU
Young Africans
1 - 1
APR FC
APR
77%
15%
8%
61 74 13 -19
12 Mar. 2016
APR
APR FC
1 - 2
Young Africans
YOU
22%
23%
54%
61 73 12 0
07 Mar. 2016
MUS
Musanze FC
0 - 3
APR FC
APR
39%
30%
31%
42 42 0 +19

Matches

Etincelles FC
Etincelles FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2016
ETI
Etincelles FC
1 - 1
Police FC
POL
42%
28%
30%
42 42 0 0
28 Feb. 2016
MUK
Mukura Victory
1 - 0
Etincelles FC
ETI
46%
27%
28%
42 42 0 0
22 Feb. 2016
BUG
Bugesera
2 - 1
Etincelles FC
ETI
51%
25%
24%
42 42 0 0
19 Feb. 2016
ETI
Etincelles FC
2 - 4
AS Kigali
ASK
41%
29%
30%
42 42 0 0
16 Feb. 2016
MAR
Marines FC
1 - 0
Etincelles FC
ETI
43%
28%
30%
42 42 0 0