Appalachian vs One Knoxville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
56.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Appalachian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 3
HIC
83%
11%
6%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 0
CHH
83%
11%
6%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 0
CHH
83%
11%
6%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 2
AFC
42%
25%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
POR
1 - 3
AFC
28%
21%
51%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
One Knoxville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2025 |
SPV
2 - 2
OKS
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
LOU
1 - 0
OKS
89%
8%
3%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 1
OKS
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
GTR
2 - 1
OKS
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 0
OKS
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |