Apolonia Fier vs Tomori Berat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
5º
5º
17
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 0
APO
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
APO
3 - 0
BUR
66%
20%
13%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ELB
3 - 2
APO
11%
20%
70%
|
51 | 13 | 38 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
APO
1 - 1
BES
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
KOR
0 - 1
APO
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tomori Berat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 0
LUS
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
VOR
5 - 1
TOM
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TOM
1 - 0
KRU
39%
28%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BYL
1 - 1
TOM
60%
23%
18%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
TOM
1 - 0
LUZ
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |