Apolonia Fier vs AF Elbasani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+219%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
5º
5º
79
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
APO
2 - 1
LUZ
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BES
0 - 0
APO
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
APO
2 - 2
KOR
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
APO
4 - 1
LUS
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
APO
2 - 1
VOR
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
KRU
2 - 3
ELB
58%
21%
20%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ELB
3 - 2
LUS
28%
24%
49%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
VOR
1 - 1
ELB
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
ELB
3 - 1
KRU
25%
25%
51%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
LUZ
2 - 4
ELB
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |