Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 3-2
Apollon Limassol vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
ABE
2 - 1
APO
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
ZAR
1 - 2
APO
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
APO
3 - 0
ZAR
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
RAP
2 - 1
APO
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
AWM
1 - 0
APO
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
ABE
2 - 1
APO
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 4
ABE
8%
17%
76%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
SIR
0 - 2
ABE
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
ABE
1 - 1
SIR
59%
24%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
ARB
1 - 3
ABE
9%
17%
74%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |