UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 4-1
APOEL vs Viitorul Constanţa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
APO
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
F91
0 - 1
APO
38%
26%
37%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
APO
1 - 0
F91
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
DOX
1 - 2
APO
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
APO
1 - 0
PAN
63%
22%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Viitorul Constanţa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 1
DBU
39%
25%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
APO
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CLU
2 - 0
VIT
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2017 |
VIT
3 - 0
GAZ
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 1
VOL
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |