APOEL vs Ethnikos Achnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
APO
1 - 1
OMO
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
OMO
1 - 0
APO
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
APO
3 - 1
NEA
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
OLY
2 - 3
APO
31%
27%
43%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
APO
2 - 3
ETH
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ETH
1 - 2
AEL
25%
26%
50%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
AEK
3 - 1
ETH
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
ETH
2 - 1
KAR
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
APO
2 - 3
ETH
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ETH
1 - 1
NEA
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |