APOEL vs Alki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
APO
2 - 1
GIR
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
APO
2 - 0
APO
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
APO
1 - 0
ANO
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
GIR
2 - 1
APO
55%
26%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ERM
2 - 0
APO
30%
28%
43%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Alki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ALK
1 - 6
ETH
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AEK
2 - 1
ALK
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ALK
0 - 4
DOX
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALK
0 - 1
OMO
23%
24%
53%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
APO
2 - 1
ALK
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |