APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City Demons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
HAS
0 - 0
API
20%
21%
59%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
API
4 - 0
ROC
80%
14%
7%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SYD
1 - 3
API
23%
22%
55%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SUT
1 - 2
API
11%
18%
72%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
API
0 - 3
WOL
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Blacktown City Demons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SYD
0 - 1
BLA
16%
19%
65%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 0
BLA
26%
24%
51%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
BLA
1 - 0
SUT
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SYD
3 - 3
BLA
37%
25%
39%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BLA
0 - 1
SYD
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |