APEP vs Ahironas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ETH
3 - 1
APE
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
APE
1 - 1
OLY
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MEA
1 - 1
APE
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
APE
1 - 0
ORM
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ELP
3 - 2
APE
41%
25%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ahironas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
AHI
3 - 0
OLY
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ORM
1 - 3
AHI
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
AHI
0 - 1
PEY
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
XYL
1 - 0
AHI
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
AHI
3 - 2
AGV
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |