Apeldoorn CSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
71.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apeldoorn CSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
APE
2 - 6
AJA
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ZUI
4 - 1
APE
22%
21%
57%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
APE
1 - 1
STA
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
QUI
0 - 1
APE
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
URK
1 - 3
APE
32%
24%
45%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
RJC
1 - 3
WIL
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 2
ADO
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FEY
5 - 0
WIL
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
UTR
2 - 0
WIL
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 2
EXC
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |