Aparecidense vs Trindade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 1
APA
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 0
APA
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
APA
2 - 1
ATL
21%
23%
56%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
TUP
2 - 2
APA
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
APA
1 - 1
TUP
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Trindade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TRI
3 - 1
GOI
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
TRI
0 - 2
VIL
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
TRI
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
TRI
3 - 2
ANA
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
ANA
3 - 1
TRI
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |