Aparecidense vs Interporto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 0
APA
19%
24%
56%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
APA
2 - 0
PPE
9%
19%
72%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
GOI
1 - 2
APA
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
APA
1 - 3
GOI
6%
14%
80%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
APA
1 - 0
NOV
60%
21%
18%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Interporto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
INT
1 - 1
SDJ
11%
19%
70%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
AAA
2 - 1
INT
15%
19%
66%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
INT
2 - 1
FJE
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
FJE
0 - 0
INT
12%
17%
70%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
INT
1 - 2
AAA
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |