Aparecidense vs Gremio Anapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
GOI
1 - 1
APA
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
APA
1 - 2
ATL
10%
17%
73%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
APA
1 - 1
IPO
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
APA
66%
22%
12%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
APA
2 - 3
NOV
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Gremio Anapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 1
GOI
7%
14%
80%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CRA
0 - 1
GRE
41%
28%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
GOI
1 - 0
GRE
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 1
ANA
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 1
ITU
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |