Aparecidense vs Goiás EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
68.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GOI
1 - 2
APA
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
APA
2 - 1
ANA
60%
20%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 1
APA
41%
24%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ITU
1 - 1
APA
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
APA
0 - 2
VIL
43%
24%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
GOI
4 - 3
AMF
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GOI
2 - 1
MOR
85%
11%
4%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
AMF
0 - 0
GOI
46%
24%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 2
GOI
22%
22%
56%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
GOI
4 - 2
ITU
74%
17%
10%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |