Aparecidense vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
24.8%
65.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
21.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
29.4%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
APA
3 - 1
GOI
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
POR
3 - 1
APA
17%
26%
57%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
GOI
0 - 3
APA
21%
27%
52%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
FLU
1 - 0
APA
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
APA
0 - 0
MIX
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
JUV
1 - 1
FLU
52%
25%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
FLU
2 - 0
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ATM
3 - 2
FLU
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
DGV
1 - 0
FLU
11%
23%
67%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FLU
2 - 1
SPO
47%
27%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |