Aparecidense vs Espirito Santo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
APA
2 - 2
ANA
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 0
APA
19%
22%
58%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ITU
0 - 1
APA
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 1
APA
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
APA
0 - 2
GOI
13%
21%
66%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Espirito Santo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 0
APA
19%
22%
58%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 0
EST
28%
25%
48%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +4 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
DOZ
1 - 0
ESP
22%
22%
57%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
DES
0 - 0
ESP
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |