Aparecida vs 1º Maio Figueiró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+144%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FEL
0 - 1
APA
40%
23%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
APA
1 - 0
FRE
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
1º Maio Figueiró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MAI
0 - 6
NEV
8%
16%
76%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
COD
3 - 0
MAI
53%
22%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |