Antofagasta vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
COB
3 - 1
ANT
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SWA
0 - 2
ANT
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ANT
1 - 2
PAL
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 3
ANT
24%
27%
50%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ANT
2 - 0
CSL
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 2
ACS
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 2
UCO
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 2
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 2
PAL
46%
24%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CSL
2 - 1
UCO
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |