Antofagasta vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
ANT
0 - 1
USF
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
DEP
1 - 0
ANT
39%
26%
34%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
ANT
2 - 1
DLI
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
DLS
1 - 1
ANT
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
ANT
3 - 1
CSD
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
NTA
1 - 1
UCO
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 5
CDM
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
IQU
2 - 3
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
UCO
0 - 1
CSL
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
UCO
0 - 1
USF
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |