Antigua and Barbuda vs Curaçao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
63%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
MTQ
4 - 2
ATG
60%
21%
18%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BHS
0 - 6
ATG
25%
21%
55%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ATG
0 - 3
LCA
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
ATG
0 - 2
JAM
9%
19%
72%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
ATG
0 - 0
DMA
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Curaçao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
CUW
6 - 0
GLP
34%
23%
44%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 5
CUW
7%
13%
81%
|
56 | 5 | 51 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
CUW
10 - 0
GRD
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
CUW
1 - 0
BOL
10%
17%
74%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | +3 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CUW
1 - 1
BOL
9%
17%
74%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | +1 |