AV Alta vs Spokane Velocity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
58.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+260%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
11º
7º
38
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 54 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 52 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 52 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 48 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 47 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 40 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 38 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 36 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 36 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 33 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 30 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 27 |
14º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
58% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
42% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AV Alta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
AVA
2 - 2
ORA
7%
13%
80%
|
28 | 62 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AVA
3 - 2
CRW
13%
16%
71%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | +4 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
AVA
2 - 0
WES
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
AVA
2 - 1
LAF
10%
16%
74%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | +6 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
RIC
3 - 1
AVA
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Spokane Velocity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
SPV
4 - 1
TFC
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 7 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SPV
0 - 0
PHP
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
TAC
2 - 1
SPV
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
GTR
0 - 4
SPV
62%
22%
15%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | +3 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SPV
0 - 1
NAP
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |