K-League Challenge Normal Season Round 17

Ansan Greeners vs Bucheon FC 1995 analysis

Ansan Greeners Bucheon FC 1995
62 ELO 76
2.7% Tilt -6.7%
2888º General ELO ranking 1108º
33º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
24.5%
Ansan Greeners
26.1%
Draw
49.4%
Bucheon FC 1995

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
Ansan Greeners
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.4%
Win probability
Bucheon FC 1995
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ansan Greeners
-11%
+7%
Bucheon FC 1995

Points and table prediction

Ansan Greeners
Their league position
Bucheon FC 1995
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
10º
14º
14º
45
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Incheon United
62
86
94%
Suwon Bluewings
52
76
83%
Jeonnam Dragons
45
66
47.5%
Bucheon FC 1995
45
63
31.5%
Busan I Park
41
59
20.5%
Gimpo FC
40
58
24.5%
Seoul E-Land FC
40
58
24.5%
Seongnam FC
38
53
31%
Chungnam Asan FC
32
50
39%
Hwaseong
10º
29
41
10º
48.5%
Chungbuk Cheongju
11º
25
37
11º
36%
Gyeongnam FC
12º
23
35
12º
34%
Cheonan City
13º
20
32
13º
45.5%
Ansan Greeners
14º
20
29
14º
65%
Expected probabilities
Ansan Greeners
Bucheon FC 1995
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 56.5%
Mid-table
100% 43.5%

ELO progression

Ansan Greeners
Bucheon FC 1995
Chungnam Asan FC
Seongnam FC
Busan I Park
Incheon United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ansan Greeners
Ansan Greeners
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jun. 2025
HWA
Hwaseong
0 - 0
Ansan Greeners
ANG
49%
26%
25%
63 67 4 0
07 Jun. 2025
BUS
Busan I Park
0 - 2
Ansan Greeners
ANG
71%
19%
10%
61 77 16 +2
31 May. 2025
ANG
Ansan Greeners
1 - 0
Seongnam FC
SEO
34%
26%
39%
60 65 5 +1
24 May. 2025
CHE
Chungbuk Cheongju
0 - 0
Ansan Greeners
ANG
49%
26%
25%
60 64 4 0
18 May. 2025
ANG
Ansan Greeners
0 - 2
Incheon United
INC
14%
24%
62%
60 80 20 0

Matches

Bucheon FC 1995
Bucheon FC 1995
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jun. 2025
BUC
Bucheon FC 1995
3 - 1
Seoul E-Land FC
ELA
47%
26%
27%
75 73 2 0
08 Jun. 2025
INC
Incheon United
1 - 0
Bucheon FC 1995
BUC
50%
27%
24%
75 81 6 0
01 Jun. 2025
SUW
Suwon Bluewings
4 - 1
Bucheon FC 1995
BUC
51%
26%
23%
76 81 5 -1
25 May. 2025
KOR
Chungnam Asan FC
2 - 2
Bucheon FC 1995
BUC
38%
27%
35%
75 72 3 +1
17 May. 2025
BUC
Bucheon FC 1995
1 - 0
Hwaseong
HWA
56%
24%
20%
75 67 8 0