Angouleme vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angouleme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
NÎM
3 - 0
ANG
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1971 |
ANG
1 - 1
NIC
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1971 |
RED
1 - 1
ANG
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1971 |
ANG
0 - 2
NÎM
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1971 |
STR
2 - 1
ANG
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
BAS
2 - 1
NAN
38%
26%
37%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1971 |
NÎM
6 - 2
BAS
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1971 |
REN
1 - 0
BAS
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1971 |
BAS
2 - 0
MET
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1971 |
BAS
2 - 0
ANG
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |