Angola vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
GHA
1 - 1
ANG
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 1
ANG
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
ANG
2 - 0
CHA
82%
14%
5%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CHA
3 - 1
ANG
8%
17%
75%
|
75 | 40 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ANG
1 - 3
NAM
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
NAM
0 - 0
BOT
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
NAM
1 - 1
RWA
30%
23%
47%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
RWA
3 - 0
NAM
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ANG
1 - 3
NAM
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
ANG
2 - 0
NAM
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |