Angola vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
17%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 2
ANG
12%
24%
64%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
SDN
0 - 0
ANG
24%
27%
49%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 1
GHA
38%
28%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
NIG
0 - 1
ANG
20%
26%
55%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 0
NIG
69%
21%
11%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 2
ANG
12%
24%
64%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
7 - 0
LSO
85%
11%
3%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 0
CTA
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NAM
1 - 0
LSO
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 0
NAM
18%
24%
59%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |