Ancona vs Pineto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OLB
0 - 1
ANC
38%
25%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ANC
1 - 2
JS2
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
CES
4 - 0
ANC
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ANC
1 - 0
PIN
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ANC
1 - 2
ASG
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pineto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ASL
3 - 0
PIN
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
PIN
1 - 0
RIM
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ANC
1 - 0
PIN
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
PIN
0 - 0
ACD
21%
27%
52%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ASG
1 - 1
PIN
55%
26%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |