Ancona vs Astrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
OLY
2 - 2
ANC
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ANC
2 - 4
SAN
80%
13%
6%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
ANC
14%
23%
64%
|
63 | 26 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ANC
1 - 0
RCA
86%
11%
4%
|
63 | 28 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ISE
1 - 2
ANC
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AST
0 - 0
FCC
76%
16%
9%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
AST
5 - 2
OLY
41%
24%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
JES
1 - 0
AST
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
AST
1 - 1
VIS
46%
23%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
AST
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |