Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 2-3
Anapolina vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
67.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GOI
2 - 1
ANA
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ANA
0 - 2
GOI
13%
21%
66%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ANA
2 - 2
GRE
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 0
ANA
42%
27%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ANA
1 - 1
CRA
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
4 - 2
ARN
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
ARN
0 - 1
VIT
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 2
COL
84%
12%
4%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
CON
83%
12%
4%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 2
VIT
9%
20%
71%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |