Anapolina vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
SAO
3 - 0
ANA
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
ANA
3 - 1
NAU
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
ANA
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
NAU
3 - 1
ANA
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
ANA
1 - 2
NAU
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 0
LON
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
AMF
4 - 1
VIL
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 2
CRZ
10%
18%
72%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
VIL
2 - 1
BOT
22%
25%
54%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
CRZ
2 - 0
VIL
93%
5%
2%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |