Anadia vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ANA
3 - 2
GRI
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ACV
4 - 0
ANA
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ANA
2 - 0
TOC
63%
20%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
COI
1 - 1
ANA
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ANA
3 - 0
CIN
27%
26%
48%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SER
0 - 2
TOU
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MAF
3 - 1
SER
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 0
1DE
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
SER
38%
25%
38%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
QUA
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |